Energy & Climate
The world's two largest emitters — and competitors for clean energy dominance.
Climate change requires cooperation — but US-China energy competition is intensifying. China is the world's largest emitter but also the dominant producer of clean energy technology. The US is trying to rebuild domestic manufacturing while reducing dependence on Chinese supply chains. Both dynamics shape the future of the energy transition.
Emissions Comparison
China's Clean Energy Dominance
While China burns more coal than the rest of the world combined, it also dominates global clean energy manufacturing. This creates a paradox: fighting climate change currently requires buying Chinese.
Renewable Energy Race
🇨🇳 China's Position
- Speed: Adding more renewable capacity annually than US total installed
- Scale: Largest solar and wind capacity in the world
- Cost advantage: Subsidies enable below-market pricing
- But: Still building coal plants as backup
- But: Emissions still rising (peak expected ~2030)
🇺🇸 US Position
- IRA investment: $370B in clean energy subsidies
- Reshoring: New solar and battery factories announced
- Innovation: Leading in some next-gen tech (fusion, advanced nuclear)
- But: Far behind China on manufacturing scale
- But: Permitting and grid constraints slow deployment
The EV Battle
Electric vehicles are a major front in the US-China competition. Chinese automakers, led by BYD, now make more EVs than any other country — and are expanding globally.
Energy Security
Beyond climate, energy is about security. Both countries are trying to reduce vulnerabilities in their energy supply.
🇺🇸 US Energy Position
- Oil & gas: Now world's largest producer — net exporter
- LNG exports: Major supplier to Europe and Asia
- Clean energy: Manufacturing lags, heavy China dependence
- Grid: Aging infrastructure, interconnection backlogs
- Strategy: IRA subsidies to reshore clean tech
🇨🇳 China Energy Position
- Oil imports: 70%+ dependent on imports (Middle East)
- Malacca Strait: 80% of oil transits this chokepoint
- Clean energy: Reducing import dependence via renewables
- Coal: Domestic supply provides energy security
- Strategy: Diversify imports, accelerate renewables, keep coal backup
Climate Cooperation — Or Not
Climate change is a global problem requiring US-China cooperation. But competition increasingly trumps collaboration.
- 2014 joint announcement: Obama-Xi deal helped enable Paris Agreement
- 2021 Glasgow: Renewed cooperation pledge
- 2022 Pelosi visit: China suspended climate talks after Taiwan tensions
- 2023 resumption: Kerry-Xie talks restored dialogue
- 2024-25: Trade tensions, EV tariffs strain cooperation